Week 1 - Clusters of Stallions and Great Grand Dam Sires

Aged old traditional Sire and Broodmare Sire Charts ?

Traditional "Sire and Broodmare Sire" tables measure in the first 2 gens of a pedigree and can become stagnate with 3-4 months of the season remaining - it's a long and slow journey to the obvious finishing positions.

Not all breeders [probably the strong majority of us] can afford the $100,000+ service fee of these leading stallion/s on the table, nor can we pay multi millions for the best race mares at gala auction nights, where the mare is given a direct path to the most expensive and best stallion "almost assuring the vendor of a sales topper in the auction ring within a few years".

Stallion adverts dominate the online publications with colour page advertising of tremendous data, lots of it based on "race performance" - not the genetic breakdown of the new stallion.

I get it and truly understand what keeps these valued and outstanding publications alive, having spent the last 35+ years successfully in marketing, advertising, business consulting and property investments.... So I do understand !

Having sold all of my businesses and turning to broodmare and stallion investments,

It's now time to convert my passion into 8-10 hours every day, presenting an evolving opportunity that includes "bringing to you", varied data and detailed information that may be of future interest.

My focus now, is working with smaller breeders and stallion owners in the majority view of "breed to race" and promoting their unsold weanlings and yearlings, supported by statistical data and their strengths through pedigree analysis.

What about something different ? What about deeper stats/data ?

Based on live data in Australia and beneficial to all breeders, large and small.... "Learn which stallion clusters are working and give hope/thought to the bottom female line of your broodmare - based on the stallion in her 4th generation".

Each Saturday I will record winning results of each city meeting - highlighting different breeding data to the standard available and will publish this information within 24-36 hours.

Results/Tables will be shown in clusters or lineage

As of the 7th September [first Saturday meeting in Spring], I will record and publish weekly tables showing the winners of each race in Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth.

Here is the raw data for week 1 - Saturday, 7th September

This will continue through to the Winterbottom Stakes meeting on November 30th.

(Will also include the Flemington Spring Carnival on Tuesday and Thursday] plus any black type races on a Friday or Sunday at city metropolitan venues.

So what are the Clusters for each category ?

A Stallion Cluster

- Measured at nick 24 from origin with the "key" clusters shown below....

Horses from teams/clusters will earn points for that cluster or lineage:

The teams within the Raise a Native line will be:

• Mr Prospector

  • American Pharoah, Too Darn Hot, Makfi, Street Boss, Hallowed Crown, Per Incanto, Pride of Dubai, Wootton Bassett, Almanzor, Sire Prancealot, Too Darn Hot

• Majestic Prince

  • Super Saver, Mint Lane

The teams within the Nasrullah line will be:

• Candy Stripes

  • Animal Kingdom

• Shirley Heights

  • Reliable Man,

• Bold Reasoning

  • Frosted

• Kalamoun

  • Verglas, Glass harmonium, Vert De Grece

The teams within the Royal Charger line will be:

• Roberto

  • Maurice, Ekraar, Americain,

• Halo

  • Sebring, Supido, Dissident, Better Than Ready, Prized icon, Gold Standard, Mikki Isle, Real Steel, Brave Smash,

• Sir Ivor

  • Savabeel, Lonhro, Pierro, Impending, Encryption, Sweynesse

The teams within the Infatuationr line will be:

• Zeditave

  • Ilovethiscity

The teams within the Nearctic line will be:

• Danehill [Danzig]

  • Redoutes choice, Snitzel, Russian Revolution, Fastnet Rock, Exceed and Excel, Proisir, Starspangledbanner, All Too Hard, Extreme Choice, Trapeze Artist, Shamus Award, Alabama Express, Foxwedge, Headwater

• Green Desert [Danzig]

  • I am Invincible, Brazen Beau, Tassort, Power, Kobayashi, Hellbent, Overshare

• Encosta De Lago [Fairy King]

  • Deep Field, Cosmic Force, Zoustar, Zousain, Lean Mean Machine, Fighting Sun, Manhattan Rain, Rubick,

• High Chaparral [Sadlers Wells]

  • So You Think, Dundeel, Toronado, Dargento, Tivaci, Super Seth

• Montjeu [Sadlers Wells]

  • Tavistock, Tarzino, Camelot

• Galileo [Sadlers Wells]

  • Frankel, Kermadec, Dawn Approach, Highland Reel, Churchill,

• El Prado [Sadlers Wells]

  • Flying Artie, Vancouver, Artie Schiller, Astern, Nostradamus

• Storm Cat [Storm Bird]

  • Justify, No Nay Never, Blue Point, Puissance De Lune, Ghibellines,

• Spinning World [Nureyev]

  • Ocean park, Spieth

• Polar Falcon [Nureyev]

  • Siyouni, Under the Louvre

• Soviet Star [Nureyev]

  • Star Witness, Star Turn

• Royal Academy [Nijinsky]

  • Bel Esprit, Moshe

• Last Tycoon [Try My Bes]

  • Written tycoon, Rich Enuff, Capitalist, Written By, Winning Rupert, Brutal, Grunt

• Waajib [Try My Best]

  • Harry Angel,

Broodmare Sire Cluster or lineage

This will be more interesting and is not obvious reading a form guide,

It will be based on the fourth generation of the pedigree and focus or measure the stallion at the bottom line, where he commences the broodmare line of:

• "Dam - GrandDam - Great Granddam"

So in essence, the set point of the bottom stallion in the 4th generation, to measure the female lineage for the immediate 3 dams of the racehorse.

This stallion will be noted individually, then an additional measure of the stallion's variation of the dam's line and record tables from the 19th and 21st nick from origin.

The reason for the additional measure of nick 21 is to show the variation within the dominant Pharos line [19th nick].

As you will read from week 1 results, very "modest performed stallions" that sit in the 4th generation of the female line of 3 dams have great results or percentages - in particular those from the Byerly Turk origin.

At the bottom of the report - you can see the consistent results from stallions at this position in the racehorse pedigree.

Week 1 - 7/9/24

Stallion Cluster Leader board:

Leader board - Stallion Cluster

Very Close first week between four stallion lines [nick 24 of origin]

Danehill [10 winners],

Encosta De Lago, Green Desert and Mr Prospector all equal second [7 winners each]

10: 1st is DANEHILL

• all individual winners and surprise to see only 2 x "big guns" being Fastnet Rock and Snitzel.

7: =2nd is ENCOSTA DE LAGO

• Zoustar had 3 winners + Deep Field had 2 winners.

7: =2nd is GREEN DESERT

• I am Invincible with 2 winners was his best performer.

7: =2nd is MR PROSPECTOR

• American Pharoah was best performed with 2 winners at Parth and Adelaide

3 HIGH CHAPARRAL

• All indvidual stallions in Dundeel, So You Think and Toronado

3 SIR IVOR

• All indvidual stallions in Lonhro, Savabeel and Sessions

The full results of every stallion cluster is shown at the bottom of this post.

Leader board - Broodmare Sire lineage at 4th Gen

As expected, PHAROS lines were going to dominate the leader board, however the real battle lies within and the 3 key breakpoints at nick 21 being Nasrullah, Nearctic and Royal Charger is very Close.

The main leader board at nick 19 is:

• 28 winners to PHAROS line stallions

• 5 winners to STAR KINGDOM line stallions

• 3 winners to SICKLE line stallions.

  
  

What about the real tussle - the dominant key stallions of Pharos at nick 21:

• 10 winners to the Nearctic stem

• 9 winners to the Nasrullah stem

• 9 winners to the Royal Charger stem

NEARCTIC x 10 winners

NASRULLAH x 9 winners

ROYAL CHARGER x 9 winners

Of the 47 races in week 1, it is interesting that only 3 broodmare sire lines at gen 4, had multiple winners [each had 2] and they were:

• Danehill [Pharos/Nearctic]

• Sound Reason [Pharos/Royal Charger]

• Noble Bijou [Vienna/Noble Bijou]

That means 41 other individual Broodmare Sire lines recording victories [based on that female lineage of the immediate 3 dams], measured by the stallion on the bottom line of the 4th generation.

Current data and summary of high class winners for these Broodmare Sires lineage at 4th Gen

Here are the facts - data driven information

Amazing data on some stallions that you might just see in this slot on your pedigree and not know how they have performed in this "EXACT POSITION" previously:

Euclase: from the "Byerly Turk" origin

Results and performers in this "exact" slot: sire of Dam -Grand Dam- Great Granddam

61 runners, 42 winners @ 68%

- 5 x Group winners, 7 x stakes winners, 10 x stakes placed

• winners include: Alizee, Astern, Berkeley Square

Twig Moss: from the "Byerly Turk" origin

Results and performers in this "exact" slot: sire of Dam -Grand Dam- Great Granddam

1398 runners, 895 winners @ 64%

- 23 x Group winners, 50 x stakes winners, 103 x stakes placed

• winners include: Fastnet Rock, Merchant Navy, Paulele, Earthquake

Far North:

Results and performers in this "exact" slot: sire of Dam -Grand Dam- Great Granddam

1566 runners, 1065 winners @ 68%

- 20 x Group winners, 56 x stakes winners, 123 x stakes placed

• winners include: Santa Ana Lane, Isla Bonita

Luskin Star:

Results and performers in this "exact" slot: sire of Dam -Grand Dam- Great Granddam

1734 runners, 1122 winners @ 65%

- 32 x Group winners, 63 x stakes winners, 112 x stakes placed

• winners include: Capitalist, Major Beel, Golden Mile, Cosmic Force

The data below shows each stallion and their breeding record in this "EXACT POSITION"

Summary of key Leader boards

Stallion Cluster [nick 24]

• 10 points: DANEHILL

• 7 points: ENCOSTA DE LAGO - GREEN DESERT - MR PROSPECTOR

• 3 points: HIGH CHAPARRAL - SIR IVOR

• 2 points: STORM CAT - SPIRIT OF BOOM

• 1 point: Halo, Roberto, Monsun, Waajib, Spinning World, Peintre Celebre

Broodmare Sire Lineage [nick 19]

• 28 points: PHAROS

•   5 points: STAR KINGDOM

•   3 points: SICKLE

• 2 points VIENNA - TOURBILLON

• 1 point: Vandale, Princequillo, Prince Bio, Pharamond, Persian Gulf, Forli & Imi

Broodmare Sire Lineage sub-set [battle of Pharos at nick 21]

• 10 points: NEARCTIC

•   9 points: NASRULLAH - ROYAL CHARGER

After the first 4 weeks, new reports "separate data" for "black type races only" will have their own tables.

FYI:

Here is summarised data of black type results after week 1:

1. Green Desert line stallions dominated the bug 3 races

2. Pharos represented 4/10 broodmare Sire line stallions

   1. Nasrullah x 2, Neartic and Royal Charger x 1 in black type results,

End of report for week 1 - Saturday 7th September.